DPC Winter 2021: South America Predictions
samples *
Forecast date:
UPPER DIVISION
Bracket Probabilities
| Team | Rating | Record | Playoffs | Groups | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Match Probabilities
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
Group Stage Rank Probabilities
| Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group Stage Rank by Record
This table shows what group stage ranks a team can an end up at if they achieve a particular win-loss record. Note that probabilities will have high error if the win-loss record is highly unlikely.| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Tiebreak Probabilities
| Boundary | 2-way | 3-way | 4-way | 5-way | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playoffs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Groups | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Relegation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
LOWER DIVISION
Bracket Probabilities
| Team | Rating | Record | Promoted | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% | |
| 0 | 0-0 | 0% | 0% |
Match Probabilities
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| 0 | 0 |
Group Stage Rank Probabilities
| Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group Stage Rank by Record
This table shows what group stage ranks a team can an end up at if they achieve a particular win-loss record. Note that probabilities will have high error if the win-loss record is highly unlikely.| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Record | Group Rank | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W - L | Prob | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| 0 - 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 - 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 - 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 - 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 - 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 - 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 - 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 - 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Tiebreak Probabilities
| Boundary | 2-way | 3-way | 4-way | 5-way | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promotion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Relegation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
* Due to the nature of sampling it is impossible to completely guarantee an outcome. Outcomes are marked with ✓ or - if they always or never occur across all simulations. For this report ( samples), outcomes that occur at least % of the time will be detected with at least 63% probability and outcomes that occur at least % of the time will be correctly detected with at least 99.99% probability.
Predictions last updated at UTC using model version .