d2mcs | DPC Spring 2022: Southeast Asia Predictions

UPPER DIVISION

Bracket Probabilities

Team	Record	Playoffs	Groups	Wildcard	Relegated
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%	0%	0%

Match Probabilities

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Group Stage Rank Probabilities

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Group Stage Rank by Record

This table shows what group stage ranks a team can an end up at if they achieve a particular win-loss record. Note that probabilities will have high error if the win-loss record is highly unlikely.

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Tiebreak Probabilities

Boundary	2-way	3-way	4-way	5-way	Overall
Playoffs	0	0	0	0	0
Groups	0	0	0	0	0
Wildcard	0	0	0	0	0
Relegation	0	0	0	0	0

LOWER DIVISION

Bracket Probabilities

Team	Record	Promoted	Relegated
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%
Team	0-0	0%	0%

Match Probabilities

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team
Team	0	0	Team

Group Stage Rank Probabilities

Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Group Stage Rank by Record

This table shows what group stage ranks a team can an end up at if they achieve a particular win-loss record. Note that probabilities will have high error if the win-loss record is highly unlikely.

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Record		Group Rank
W - L	Prob	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
0 - 7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1 - 6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2 - 5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3 - 4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4 - 3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5 - 2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6 - 1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7 - 0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Tiebreak Probabilities

Boundary	2-way	3-way	4-way	5-way	Overall
Promotion	0	0	0	0	0
Relegation	0	0	0	0	0

^* Due to the nature of sampling it is impossible to completely guarantee an outcome. Outcomes are marked with ✓ or - if they always or never occur across all simulations. For this report ( samples), outcomes that occur at least % of the time will be detected with at least 63% probability and outcomes that occur at least % of the time will be correctly detected with at least 99.99% probability.

Predictions last updated at UTC using model version .

DPC Spring 2022: Southeast Asia Predictions

samples *

UPPER DIVISION

Bracket Probabilities

Match Probabilities

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Week 5

Week 6

Group Stage Rank Probabilities

Group Stage Rank by Record

Tiebreak Probabilities

LOWER DIVISION

Bracket Probabilities

Match Probabilities

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Week 5

Week 6

Group Stage Rank Probabilities

Group Stage Rank by Record

Tiebreak Probabilities

samples ^*